Predicting career 'leaps' for the new season

By Jason SobelOctober 9, 2013, 10:56 pm

I’m not gonna lie. This feels weird.

For years, I’ve been writing my column on players who will make “The Leap” – and for years, it’s been posted on New Year’s Day, as much a tradition as the Rose Bowl and black-eyed peas. (OK, maybe less. Slightly.) As you may have noticed, though, today is not New Year’s Day. But it does represent a new year for the PGA Tour.

Two weeks, three days, 17 hours and some 12 minutes after the last putt of the 2013 season dropped comes the first tee shot of the 2013-14 season, part of a new wraparound schedule that quite literally ensures professional golf never stops.

So although the ink is hardly dry on stories about the United States’ Presidents Cup win and Henrik Stenson’s FedEx Cup crown, it’s already time to start talking about the upcoming campaign – whether we like it or not.

Just as its title states, “The Leap” isn’t simply about predicting certain pros to play well. It’s about predicting them to make a jump into the next echelon of their careers.

Last year’s edition of this column had its usual hits and misses. Graham DeLaet did indeed qualify for the Presidents Cup team and Kevin Streelman won his first PGA Tour event. Others weren’t so fortunate. Instead of reaching the world’s top-10, Bo Van Pelt suffered his worst year in a decade; rather than reach the Tour Championship, Seung-Yul Noh found himself back in the Finals.

But hey, it’s a new year – er, a new season. Time to make 10 more predictions about which players will make “The Leap.” And I’ve gotta hurry. I think the Rose Bowl is coming on soon.

Jason Day in the 2013 WGC-Accenture Match Play ChampionshipJason Day

The Leap: Major champion

Throughout my online chats during last week’s Presidents Cup, I was peppered with comments from fans who believed Day would be the next first-time major champion. I agreed – but with a caveat. I still think the 2010 Byron Nelson Championship winner needs another victory under his belt before he claims that elusive major. Each could happen this year, as the ultra-talented 26-year-old is following in the footsteps of buddy Adam Scott and setting his schedule to best prepare for the biggest events. He’s also proven he can contend with four career top-three major finishes – two apiece at the Masters and U.S. Open. The sign of a truly elite player is the ability to win any week on any course. Day has that ability. This coming year it will come to fruition.

Gary Woodland at the 2013 BarclaysGary Woodland

The Leap: Major championship contender

While he was bitterly disappointed and frustrated after missing a 72nd hole birdie putt to force a playoff at The Barclays, the result did have a nice residual effect. It got Woodland into each of next year's first three majors, which has been a battle of late. After dealing with injuries, he missed three of the four this past year. In 11 career major championship starts, he's never pulled a top-10, his best finish being a T-12 at the 2011 PGA Championship. That will change in 2014. He may not win one, but he will contend in at least one of ‘em.

Billy Horschel at the 2013 Valero Texas OpenBilly Horschel

The Leap: United States Ryder Cup team member

It wasn't so long ago that an American player could win a PGA Tour event and basically clinch a roster spot. What a difference eight years makes. There will be some heavy hitters who miss out on Gleneagles, as evidenced by the likes of Bubba Watson, Dustin Johnson and Jim Furyk failing to qualify for the Presidents Cup, but Horschel would be a strong addition for multiple reasons. He's not only a terrific ballstriker, his intensity would make the excitable Keegan Bradley look uninterested by comparison.

Chris Wood

Chris Wood 

The Leap: European Ryder Cup team member

In the years before the likes of Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Matteo Manassero and Jordan Spieth were each hailed as the 'Future of Golf,” this Englishman was a major part of the story. Wood finished T-5 as a 20-year-old amateur at the 2008 Open Championship, then T-3 one year later as a pro. Now 25 and coming off his first European Tour victory in Qatar last year, he could be the next fresh face to earn a spot amongst Europe’s talented roster of Ryder Cup stars. With many of the top candidates splitting time between the PGA and European circuits, Wood has a terrific chance to vault up the points list by remaining (mostly) on one tour throughout the next 50 weeks.

Graham DeLaet at the 2013 Presidents Cup

Graham DeLaet

The Leap: Multiple PGA Tour winner

On the heels of correctly predicting him for the Presidents Cup team in the last edition of The Leap, I'm going to keep driving the DeLaet bandwagon. It's almost too easy to declare that the world’s 32nd-ranked player will win a tournament, so let's go one better: He'll win two. If late-2013 was his breakthrough, then 2014 will be the year DeLaet proves himself as one of the game's elite players.

Matt Jones at the 2012 Puerto Rico Open

Matt Jones  

The Leap: PGA Tour winner

Four rounds in the 60s helped Matt Jones finish T-2 at The Greenbrier Classic this past season – his first career top-three result. It was one of five results in his last 10 starts of the year in which the Aussie finished eighth or better, leading to a career-best final position of 48th on the money list after entering the year with conditional status. Most players need to knock on the door a few times before finding a way into the winner’s circle, and that process is likely happening for Jones right now.

Peter Uihlein

Peter Uihlein

The Leap: Top 50 on the Official World Golf Ranking

Currently at 69th on the list, this wouldn’t be the greatest predicted jump, but it could be amongst the most crucial. Moving into the top-50 would help the full-time European Tour member gain entry into more majors and WGC events, which in turn could – and should – lead to claiming his PGA Tour card for the first time. With no direct route from Q-School to PGA Tour any longer, Uihlein’s story would serve as inspiration for the increasing influx of young players who are trying to find an indirect route to the big leagues. 

John Peterson

John Peterson 

The Leap: Top 50 on the PGA Tour money list

What a weird year it was for Peterson in 2013. Based on his T-4 finish at last year’s U.S. Open, he got into major fields at Augusta National and Merion, but failed to finish amongst the top-25 on the Tour. He easily made up for it during the four-event Finals, though, posting four consecutive top-five finishes to lead that late-season money list and claim his PGA Tour card. After so much time already in the spotlight during his young career, expect the former NCAA champion to thrive on the next level.

Daniel Summerhays in the 2012 Mayakoba Golf Classic third round

Daniel Summerhays

The Leap: Tour Championship competitor

Consistency, thy name is Summerhays. In each of the last two seasons, the 29-year-old has posted identical statistical records of 26 starts, 15 made cuts, six top-25s and four top-10s. That’s certainly not bad, but in his fourth full PGA Tour season, expect even more. A well-rounded player whose numbers prove he does nothing spectacularly well nor poorly, his leap could consist of a first career win or inclusion in some WGCs. But let’s go with a Tour Championship berth, based on finishes of 28th or better in each of the first three FedEx Cup playoff events this past season.

Kevin Stadler at the 2013 Barclays

Kevin Stadler

The Leap: Top 30 on the money list

As a general rule, I like looking at the PGA Tour’s all-around ranking as a definitive measure of skill level, because, well, it measures skill across the board. The first six on the final 2013 list prove that theory: Tiger Woods, Steve Stricker, Jordan Spieth, Keegan Bradley, Henrik Stenson and Justin Rose. Who was seventh? None other than Stadler, who despite owning tons of talent has never finished above 54th on the money list. Expect an improvement this year, as he’s working on borrowed time. No, the son of the Walrus isn’t that old at 33, but this longtime anchorer knows he’ll have to switch to a short stick soon enough.

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Perez skips Torrey, 'upset' with Ryder Cup standings

By Will GrayJanuary 24, 2018, 2:19 am

Pat Perez is unhappy about his standing on the U.S. Ryder Cup points list, and his situation won't improve this week.

Perez won the CIMB Classic during the fall portion of this season, and he followed that with a T-5 finish at the inaugural CJ Cup. But he didn't receive any Ryder Cup points for either result because of a rule enacted by the American task force prior to the 2014 Ryder Cup which only awards points during the calendar year of the biennial matches as well as select events like majors and WGCs during the prior year.

As a result, Perez is currently 17th in the American points race - behind players like Patrick Reed, Zach Johnson, Bill Haas and James Hahn, none of whom have won a tournament since the 2016 Ryder Cup - as he looks to make a U.S. squad for the first time at age 42.

"That kind of upset me a little bit, the fact that I'm (17) on the list, but I should probably be (No.) 3 or 4," Perez told Golf Digest. "So it kind of put a bitter taste in my mouth. The fact that you win on the PGA Tour and you beat some good players, yet you don't get any points because of what our committee has decided to do."

Perez won't be earning any points this week because he has opted to tee it up at the European Tour's Omega Dubai Desert Classic. The decision comes after Perez finished T-21 last week at the Singapore Open, and it means that the veteran is missing the Farmers Insurance Open in his former hometown of San Diego for the first time since 2001.

Perez went to high school a few minutes from Torrey Pines, and he defeated a field that included Tiger Woods to win the junior world title on the South Course in 1993. His father, Tony, has been a longtime starter on the tournament's opening hole, and Perez was a runner-up in 2014 and tied for fourth last year.

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Woods favored to miss Farmers Insurance Open cut

By Will GrayJanuary 24, 2018, 1:54 am

If the Las Vegas bookmakers are to be believed, folks in the San Diego area hoping to see Tiger Woods this week might want to head to Torrey Pines early.

Woods is making his first competitive start of the year this week at the Farmers Insurance Open, and it will be his first official start on the PGA Tour since last year's event. He missed nearly all of 2017 because of a back injury before returning with a T-9 finish last month at the Hero World Challenge.

But the South Course at Torrey Pines is a far different test than Albany, and the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook lists Woods as a -180 favorite to miss the 36-hole cut. It means bettors must wager $180 to win $100, while his +150 odds to make the cut mean a bettor can win $150 with a $100 wager.

Woods is listed at 25/1 to win. He won the tournament for the seventh time in 2013, but in three appearances since he has missed the 36-hole cut, missed the 54-hole cut and withdrawn after 12 holes.

Here's a look at the various Woods-related prop bets available at the Westgate:

Will Woods make the 36-hole cut? Yes +150, No -180

Lowest single-round score (both courses par 72): Over/Under 70

Highest single-round score: Over/Under 74.5

Will Woods finish inside the top 10? Yes +350, No -450

Will Woods finish inside the top 20? Yes +170, No -200

Will Woods withdraw during the tournament? Yes +650, No -1000

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Monahan buoyed by Tour's sponsor agreements

By Rex HoggardJanuary 24, 2018, 12:27 am

SAN DIEGO – Farmers Insurance announced on Tuesday at Torrey Pines a seven-year extension of the company’s sponsorship of the Southern California PGA Tour event. This comes on the heels of Sony extending its sponsorship of the year’s first full-field event in Hawaii through 2022.

Although these might seem to be relatively predictable moves, considering the drastic makeover of the Tour schedule that will begin with the 2018-19 season, it is a telling sign of the confidence corporations have in professional golf.

“It’s a compliment to our players and the value that the sponsors are achieving,” Tour commissioner Jay Monahan said.

Monahan said that before 2014 there were no 10-year title sponsorship agreements in place. Now there are seven events sponsored for 10-years, and another five tournaments that have agreements in place of at least seven years.

“What it means is, it gives organizations like the Century Club [which hosts this week’s Farmers Insurance Open], when you have that level of stability on a long-term basis that allows you to invest in your product, to grow interest and to grow the impact of it,” Monahan said. “You experienced what this was like in 2010 or seen other tournaments that you don’t know what the future is.S o to go out and sell and inspire a community and you can’t state that we have a long-term agreement it’s more difficult.”

Events like this year’s Houston Open, Colonial in Fort Worth, Texas, and The National all currently don’t have title sponsors – although officials at Colonial are confident they can piece together a sponsorship package. But even that is encouraging to Monahan considering the uncertainty surrounding next season’s schedule, which will include the PGA Championship moving to May and The Players to March as well as a pre-Labor Day finish to the season.

“When you look back historically to any given year [the number of events needing sponsors] is lower than the typical average,” Monahan said. “As we start looking to a new schedule next year, you get excited about a great schedule with a great group of partners.”

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Day WDs from Farmers pro-am because of sore back

By Golf Channel DigitalJanuary 24, 2018, 12:07 am

SAN DIEGO – Jason Day has withdrawn from the Wednesday pro-am at the Farmers Insurance Open, citing a sore back.

Day, the 2015 champion, played a practice round with Tiger Woods and Bryson DeChambeau on Tuesday at Torrey Pines, and he is still expected to play in the tournament.

Day was replaced in the pro-am by Whee Kim. 

Making his first start since the Australian Open in November, Day is scheduled to tee off at 1:30 p.m. ET Thursday alongside Jon Rahm and Brandt Snedeker.