The point is, past results, more so than recent form, is probably the best guide as the Tour enters the final leg of the Texas swing.
Pick a Foursome: In analysis talk, Paul Casey and Geoff Ogilvy are trending in the right direction, but the Australian seems the more logical pick. Ogilvy tied for seventh last year at Colonial and is the type of ballstriker one expects to excel on the classic layout. Phil Mickelson won last year with a combination of solid iron player (T-5 in GIR) and timely putting (T-11 in total putts), two of Zach Johnsons most potent calling cards.
Picks: Geoff Ogilvy, Zach Johnson, Justin Leonard, Tim Clark
Note: One player from four categories based on the World Golf Ranking (1-10, A; 11-20, B; 21-30, C; 31-40, D). Points awarded on money earned ($1 = 1 point).
Salary Cap: Ogilvys price tag ($2.88 million) may seem like a bit of an overpayment considering he has not been red hot since starting his season with victories in two of his first five starts, but he tied for seventh last year at Colonial and, with the U.S. Open approaching, is heading into his favorite part of the season.
Picks: Geoff Ogilvy, Tim Clark, Zach Johnson, Rory Sabbatini, Webb Simpson (Total: $8.026 million)
Note: Five players with a $10 million cap based on 2008 earnings. Rookies without 2008 earnings will be priced at $250,000. Standings based on overall team earnings.
Pick One: Tim Clark. One of the Tours shorter hitters has a solid record at Colonial (T-2 last year preceded by a tie for 12th in 2007 and 14th in 04) and a game perfectly suited for the layouts narrow fairways. It also helps that at 7,054 yards Colonial is one of the circuits shortest courses.
Note: Players must be picked before the start of the season and used only once. Standings based on total earnings.
In addition to my PGA Tour Pick One, the GolfChannel.com staff will be offering up their picks to win. A player can be picked a maximum of five times. We will be keeping a running tally of the monies earned each week. The participants include: Jay Coffin, Editorial Director; Mercer Baggs, Editorial Manager; Brian Koressel, Senior Producer; Dena Davis, Assistant Editor; Erik Peterson, Travel Editor; Jerry Foltz, special contributor.
|Rex Hoggard||Rory Sabbatini||Fresh from victory circle probably isnt the best time to pick any player not named Woods, but the South African seems to shine every odd year at Colonial ' T-5 in 03, T-31 in 04, T-6 in 05, 64th in 06, 1st in 07, MC in 08.||$2,354,473|
|Jay Coffin||Tim Clark||There are horses for courses and Clark has been a thoroughbred at Colonial and hasnt finished worse than 21st the past four times hes played here. And he was in the hunt here last year finishing tied for second behind Lefty.||$3,613,052|
|Mercer Baggs||David Toms||I'm going to pick him every week until he wins. No I'm not.||$3,577,501|
|Erik Peterson||Kenny Perry||With his history here, Perrys not exactly a flier, but you cant go wrong with a two-time Colonial champ whos due for a solid tournament.||$2,942,807|
|Brian Koressel||Zach Johnson||Loving his mojo coming into the Colonial. And like I said several weeks ago, Zach will rule the Texas Swing.||$4,395,292|
|Dena Davis||Briny Baird||Mr. Baird, generous donor of PF Chang lettuce wraps, must know it is better to give than to receive, as the rewards are endless. His altruistic efforts have him feeling good and playing well. He posted his third top-10 of the year last week in Dallas.||$2,931,772|
|Jerry Foltz||Zach Johnson||His first 3 wins came in the state of Georgia, and 2 of his last 3 came in Texas. Having skipped the Byron Nelson, we'll call his win here the 'Texas two-out-of-three Step.'||$2,408,613|