The 45th event of the season - and the second event of the postseason - is upon us, as the PGA Tour heads to Massachusetts for the Deutsche Bank Championship. A field of 99 will tackle TPC Boston, with the top 70 in the standings advancing to the BMW Championship later this month.
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1. Jason Day: He's the man of the moment, and merits no other spot. Day topped the rankings last week at Plainfield and won in a rout, and now he returns to TPC Boston with even more momentum and the No. 1 ranking in his sights. Day has three top-10 finishes here in the last five years, including a runner-up in 2010 and a T-3 finish in 2011.
2. Rory McIlroy: He has played only once since his ankle injury, but McIlroy should be able to thrive on a course where he won a shootout in 2012. The Ulsterman played pretty well at Whistling Straits, all things considered, and his T-5 finish last year was highlighted by a third-round 64. TPC Boston sets up well for his lengthy carry off the tee and aggressive iron play.
3. Jordan Spieth: Spieth enters off a rare missed cut, but that was his first finish outside the top 10 since May. His record at TPC Boston is highlighted by a final-round 62 in 2013 that cemented his spot on the Presidents Cup team, and while he had a somewhat middling performance last year, the chances of Spieth putting up back-to-back duds seem pretty low.
4. Henrik Stenson: The Swede was unable to catch Day last week, but Stenson now has three straight top-25 finishes and appears to be rounding into form as his favorite part of the season approaches. Stenson won here two years ago, firing 66-66 over the final two rounds, and he leads the Tour in both total driving and GIR percentage.
5. Brooks Koepka: In his last chance to impress captain Jay Haas, Koepka will look to bounce back from a missed cut that ended his run of seven straight top-20 finishes. His record this season speaks for itself, and the low scores expected this week in Boston resemble the ones seen earlier this year in Phoenix, where Koepka notched his breakthrough win.
6. Dustin Johnson: Johnson finished T-9 at Plainfield after a T-7 finish at the PGA Championship, and appears to be peaking at the right time. His record at this event includes a T-4 finish in both 2009 and 2012, and Johnson remains among the Tour leaders in both scoring average (fifth) and birdie average (sixth).
7. Justin Thomas: The rookie has been on the cusp of a breakthrough all season long, and it just might come this week. His T-16 finish at The Barclays was his 14th top-25 finish this season, and Thomas ranks seventh this season in birdie average heading into a course where rounds in the mid-60s will be needed to contend.
8. Justin Rose: The Englishman remains on a tear, with six top-20 finishes over his last seven starts including a T-16 finish last week. He ranks inside the top 10 in a number of ball-striking categories, but his record at TPC Boston - only one top-50 finish in his last six appearances - could be a reason for concern.
9. Bubba Watson: Watson scored another close call at Plainfield, his third top-three finish in his last four starts. Dating back to his win at the Travelers, he has five top-25 finishes in six starts, and he leads the Tour in total strokes gained. In nine trips to TPC Boston, though, he has yet to crack the top 10.
10. Zach Johnson: Johnson finished T-4 at The Barclays, his fifth finish of sixth or better in his last eight starts. The Open champ has struggled to crack TPC Boston, with a best finish of T-13 way back in 2004, but he has finished inside the top 30 in five of the last six years, showing that all is not exactly lost.