Stat attack!: Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial review


Now, that’s more like it.

After nine holes Thursday in the first round of the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial, Adam Scott certainly didn’t play like the No. 1 golfer in the world.

He began the week with a four-bogey 39 on his first nine holes before completing an opening 71 at Colonial CC. As if he sensed his stay at the top of the Official World Golf Ranking was going to be a short one if he didn’t kick into high gear, Scott followed with rounds of 68-66-66 to become the sixth player in the last three years to begin a PGA Tour event with an over-par round and win.

He also came from farthest behind after 18 holes – Scott was T-64 Thursday night – to win in 2013-14, and he became the fifth player in the last 25 years to win Colonial despite shooting at least one round over par.

Players who shot over par in round one and went on to win: 2012-14

 Year Player First-round score Par
 2014 Crowne Plaza Colonial Adam Scott 71 70
 2014 Valspar Championship John Senden 72 71
 2013 U.S. Open Justin Rose  71 70 
 2013 Tampa Bay Championship Kevin Streelman  73  71 
 2012 U.S. Open Webb Simpson  72 70 
 2012 Northern Trust Open Bill Haas  72  71 

PGA Tour winners in 2013-14 who were in the highest position on the leader board after day one

 Player Tournament Position after round one
 Adam Scott Crowne Plaza Colonial T-64
 Scott Stallings Farmers Insurance Open T-63
 John Senden Valspar Championship T-45
 Bubba Watson Northern Trust Open T-35
 Jimmy Walker Open T-34

Colonial winners with at least one over-par round: 1990-2014

 Year Winner Over-par score
 2014 Adam Scott 71 in round one
 2012 Zach Johnson 72 in round four
 2011 David Toms 74 in round three
 1999 Olin Browne 73 in round one
 1990 Ben Crenshaw 72 in round three

Scott wasn’t the only player who rebounded with a strong week. Five players who were over par on Thursday finished in the top 10 at Colonial. Crowne Plaza, the Valspar Championship and the WGC-Cadillac Championship are the only tournaments this season with five or more players finishing in the top 10 who were over par on day one.

Colonial top-10 finishers who were over par on Thursday

 Finish Player Round one Rest of week
 1 Adam Scott 71 68-66-66
 T-5 David Lingmerth 72 69-66-66
 T-5 John Senden 71 68-66-68
 T-5 David Toms 72 66-65-70
 T-10 Michael Thompson 73 66-69-66

As first mentioned in the Colonial Stat Attack preview, Scott was one of 13 players who had won three of the four current Texas events on the PGA Tour. Now he stands alone, becoming the only player to win the Tour stops in Houston, San Antonio, Dallas and Fort Worth.

Adam Scott’s Texas Grand Slam

 Tournament Scores Result
 2014 Crowne Plaza Colonial 71-68-66-66—271 Beat Jason Dufner in a playoff
 2010 Valero Texas Open 71-70-66-67—274 Beat Freddie Jacobson by one
 2008 Byron Nelson Championship 68-67-67-71—273 Beat Ryan Moore in a playoff
 2007 Shell Houston Open 69-71-65-66—271 Beat Bubba Watson by three

Adam Scott in Texas events

 Tournament Starts Top 10s Cuts made Best
 Colonial 3 1 3 Won in 2014
 Nelson 4 2 2 Won in 2008
 Houston 6 2 5 Won in 2007
 Texas 2 1 2 Won in 2010
 Totals 15 6 12 Four wins

We also mentioned in the preview how important ball striking was at Colonial. Hitting fairways and greens played an important role in Scott’s victory. He was T-8 in driving accuracy and T-10 in greens in regulation to become the fourth Colonial winner in the last five years to finish in the top-10 in both statistics.

Accuracy and GIR rank of Colonial winner: 2008-2013

 Year Player Accuracy rank GIR rank
 2014 Adam Scott T-8 T-10
 2013 Boo Weekley T-6 T-5
 2012 Zach Johnson T-26 T-37
 2011 David Toms T-4 T-4
 2010 Zach Johnson T-10 1
 2009 Steve Stricker T-15 T-6
 2008 Phil Mickelson T-33 T-5

Finally, it’s worth noticing the performance of HP Byron Nelson Championship winner Brendon Todd. With his T-5 at Colonial, Todd became the third player in 2013-14 to follow a victory with another top-10 finish a week later.

PGA Tour winners in 2013-14 with a top-10 finish the following week

 Player Win Following week
 Zach Johnson Hyundai T of C T-8, Sony Open
 Bubba Watson Northern Trust Open T-9, WGC-Match Play
 Brendon Todd HP Byron Nelson T-5, Colonial