Is Kaymer a lock? History says yes


PINEHURST, N.C. – Is this thing over?  

Well, history tells us Martin Kaymer is a virtual lock to convert his six-shot lead into his second major title this weekend at the U.S. Open.  

Kaymer’s six-shot advantage matches the largest 36-hole lead in a U.S. Open. Tiger Woods (2000) and Rory McIlroy (2011) both went on to win by huge margins.  

Only one player since World War II has blown a 36-hole major lead larger than four shots: Bobby Clampett, who was five clear at the 1982 Open Championship before a 78-77 weekend.  

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Kaymer is the first player in major championship history to open the event with consecutive rounds of 65 or better. His 10-under 130 set the record for lowest 36-hole score in U.S. Open history – McIlroy was 11-under 131 when he opened up an eight-shot lead at Congressional in 2011 – and also matched the lowest 36-hole total in any major.

Kaymer became the first player in the last 20 years to make one bogey or fewer during the first 36 holes of the Open, and he was seven shots better than any 36-hole starter in either the 1999 or ’05 Pinehurst Opens.