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Scenarios: How contenders can win Race to Dubai

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Henrik Stenson, Justin Rose and Graeme McDowell control their own destiny this week at the DP World Tour Championship. They can capture the season-long Race to Dubai with a victory at the European Tour’s season finale.

As for the rest of the scenarios? Well, that takes some complicated math.

Basically, the top nine in the standings still have a mathematical chance to win the big prize. Those nine players, in order: Stenson, Rose, McDowell, Ian Poulter, Jamie Donaldson, Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano, Thongchai Jaidee, Richard Sterne and Victor Dubuisson

The European Tour crunched the numbers and here is what needs to happen in Dubai:

To have any chance of overtaking Stenson:

• Rose needs to finish fifth or better

• G-Mac needs third or better

• Poulter needs third or better

• Donaldson needs second or better

• Castano, Jaidee, Sterne and Dubuisson must win 



Other scenarios:

•If Rose is second, Stenson has to win to capture the Race to Dubai

•If Rose is third, Stenson has to finish seventh or better

•If Rose is fourth, Stenson has to finish 18th or better

•If Rose is fifth, Stenson has to finish 53rd or better 


•If McDowell is second, Stenson has to finish third or better

•If McDowell is third, Stenson has to finish 24th or better 

•If Poulter finishes second, Stenson has to finish third or better


•If Poulter is third, Stenson has to finish 38th or better


•If Donaldson is second, Stenson has to finish 24th or better