Fantasy Island Arnold Palmer Invitational


George Costanza embraced an opposite method of decision making for an entire Seinfeld episode. Considering the Week 1 success of our version of opposite selections ' Charles Howell III earned $475,000, our largest single-week take of the year ' another week of contrary picks is easily justified.
Arnold Palmer Invitational

Pick a Foursome: OK, Tiger Woods is hardly a Bizarro-World selection, but considering the whirlwind weeks that Retief Goosen and Nick Watney have had they probably wouldnt top too many lists.
As for Stewart Cink, he has three top-10s at Bay Hill, including a tie for second in 2003. His ball-striking and driving have been solid in 2009, but putting has slowed Cink, who hasnt finished better than 24th in five stroke-play events.
Picks: Tiger Woods, Stewart Cink, Retief Goosen, Nick Watney
Note: One player from four categories based on the World Golf Ranking (1-10, A; 11-20, B; 21-30, C; 31-40, D). Points awarded on money earned ($1 = 1 point).
Salary Cap: Woods owns Bay Hill, having won five of the last nine tournaments played at Arnies place, like Gonzaga owns the NCAA Tournament Cinderella title. After that $5.7 million buy, Love has a solid record at Bay Hill and needs to hold his spot inside the top 50 in the World Ranking to get into the Masters.
As for Webb Simpson he is the early leader for Rookie of the Year and the golf gods owe Greg Owen a make good after his collapse at the 2006 Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Picks: Tiger Woods, Mathew Goggin, Davis Love III, Webb Simpson, Greg Owen (Total: $9.939 million)
Note: Five players with a $10 million cap based on 2008 earnings. Rookies without 2008 earnings will be priced at $250,000. Standings based on overall team earnings.

Pick One: Chad Campbell. Hes won at Bay Hill before (2004), but more importantly the big man from Texas has the game for Palmers sprawling ballpark. Last year Woods ranked 14th in greens in regulation on his way to victory and Vijay Singh was second in GIR when he won 2007. Campbell finished 2008 ranked 11th in GIR and is among the Tours best at finding the putting surface.
Note: Players must be picked before the start of the season and used only once. Standings based on total earnings.
In addition to my PGA Tour Pick One, the staff will be offering up their picks to win. A player can be picked a maximum of five times. We will be keeping a running tally of the monies earned each week. The participants include: Brian Hewitt, Insider; Jay Coffin, Editorial Director; Mercer Baggs, Editorial Manager; Brian Koressel, Senior Producer; Dena Davis, Assistant Editor; Erik Peterson, Travel Editor; Jerry Foltz, special contributor.

NamePlayer PickReasonMoney
Rex HoggardSean O'HairThe beanpole is off to a solid start (five top-15s in seven starts), has played well at Bay Hill (T-3 in 2008 and T-14 in 07) and has easy access to swing coach Sean Foley, who teaches out of nearby Orange County National.$893,140
Jay CoffinRetief GoosenIt may be too much to ask for him to play well following a victory but he plays well at Bay Hill and has his confidence back.$3,304,185
Mercer BaggsGraeme McDowellShould probably go with Tiger, but going with the upset instead.$2,876,493
Erik PetersonTiger WoodsWith his short game finally up to snuff, Tiger romps at Bay Hill.$1,335,517
Brian KoresselTiger WoodsWith talk of Phil taking over as new No. 1, Tiger puts that notion to rest with a big performance at Bay Hill.$1,927,566
Dena DavisNick WatneyYou'll find that Nick has been residing in the 'who's hot' column lately in those nifty 'who's hot, who's not' player breakdowns.$2,083,422
Jerry FoltzNick WatneyUnlike my pick for last week, at least he's in the field, and he's playing great.$1,357,319


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