Fantasy Island Transitions Championship

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Weve gone with the favorite (Tiger Woods/WGC-Accenture Match Play), the defending champion (Ernie Els/Honda Classic) and the hot hand (Geoff Ogilvy/WGC-CA) and were so far back in the standings if this were a World Baseball Classic outing the game would have been called two innings ago.
 
New plan, were going with the George Costanza, do-the-opposite model this week. Whatever our initial impulse is, go with the opposite. Tiger Woods is looking good, pick Phil Mickelson. Ben Crane is on a run ' no pun intended ' sign up Rory Sabbatini. You get the picture.
 

 
Pick a Foursome: Kenny Perry marched off the Blue Monster Saturday afternoon, scorned by a third-round 71 and an untimely rules gaffe on the 13th hole. KP has never finished better than eighth in Tampa and was bounced in the first round of the Match Play. All of which makes him a layup under the Costanza philosophy.
 
Ditto for Alvaro Quiros. We were weary of a player ranked among the worlds top 30 who had never played a professional event in the United States, but the bomber backed up his lofty status with a tie for 13th at Doral and could surprise some at Innisbrook.
 
Picks: Kenny Perry; Jim Furyk; Alvaro Quiros, Tim Clark
 
Note: One player from four categories based on the World Golf Ranking (1-10, A; 11-20, B; 21-30, C; 31-40, D). Points awarded on money earned ($1 = 1 point).
 
Salary Cap: Sean OHair started his week at Doral eagle-eagle, played the rest of the way in 6 under and tied for 13th. Hardly a clarion call to take on his price tag ($2.08 million), but his swing coach Sean Foley was high on his mans action and his chances and the Tours favorite beanpole feels at home in central Florida.
 
As for Ryo Ishikawa, the teen fell short of the hype at his American debut last month in Los Angeles, but the Sadie Hawkins version of Fantasy Island is all about playing the ball into the wind.
 
Picks: Jim Furyk, Sean OHair, Webb Simpson, Colt Knost, Ryo Ishikawa (Total: $6.29 million)
 
Note: Five players with a $10 million cap based on 2008 earnings. Rookies without 2008 earnings will be priced at $250,000. Standings based on overall team earnings.
 
Pick One: Ryuji Imada. Home games are never the best weeks for players, what with ticket request and the added pressure to perform, but Imada is well versed in the spring winds that buffet Florida this time of year and the subtleties of the Copperheads putting surfaces. In three Tampa-area starts, hes finished runner-up (2008), tied for 13th (2006) and missed the cut (2007).
 
Note: Players must be picked before the start of the season and used only once. Standings based on total earnings.
 
In addition to my PGA Tour Pick One, the GolfChannel.com staff will be offering up their picks to win. A player can be picked a maximum of five times. We will be keeping a running tally of the monies earned each week. The participants include: Brian Hewitt, GolfChannel.com Insider; Jay Coffin, Editorial Director; Mercer Baggs, Editorial Manager; Brian Koressel, Senior Producer; Dena Davis, Assistant Editor; Erik Peterson, Travel Editor; Jerry Foltz, special contributor.
 
STAFF PICKS:

NamePlayer PickReasonMoney
Rex HoggardCharles Howell IIIOur original tilt was toward Steve Marino, who has been solid throughout the Florida Swing during his career and tied for 14th last year, but the tight, tree-lined Copperhead layout may be the salve that shakes CH III out of his title drought.$417,940
Jay CoffinTim ClarkWhen he took down Tiger Woods at the Match Play I couldnt imagine how he hasnt won a Tour event. So far this year he has four top-15 finishes in six events and hasnt finished worse than 27th.$3,304,185
Mercer BaggsRetief GoosenWon here before. Played well during first round at Doral. Maybe he can string together a few more decent rounds this week.$1,904,493
Erik PetersonKenny PerryPerry prevails in Tampa, while his 12-seeded Hilltoppers also take care of business this weekend.$1,251,817
Brian KoresselRod PamplingComing off a solid finish at Doral, the Aussie has two top-10s in his last two starts at Innisbrook.$1,927,566
Dena DavisJim FurykIt's March Madness time, so I'm picking chalk here. Yes, Furyk is the best player in the field but he's also coming off two top -10 finishes. He'll be dancing on Sunday ' and hopefully it'll be less awkward than that swing. $2,070,956
Jerry FoltzMichael BradleyThe media loves a good story, and he's a great one. Plus, he's playing near home. Needs to not suffer the emotional hangover from last week though.$1,357,319

 

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