What We Learned: Farmers Insurance Open

By Ryan LavnerJanuary 28, 2013, 11:52 pm

Each week, GolfChannel.com offers thoughts on 'what we learned' from the world of golf. This week, our writers weigh in on Tiger Woods' season-opening win on the PGA Tour and the always-hot topic of bifurcation.

Tiger Woods is setting himself up for a monster year, or so recent history suggests. But in the aftermath of his four-stroke victory Monday at Torrey Pines, questions remain. Was this dominating performance a sign of things to come … or did he merely conquer another personal playground? Is his swing geared to win three, four, five times this year, including a major … or could he simply play (and win) at Torrey Pines blindfolded? Did he falter down the stretch because of slow play … or because there is much work to be done with his full swing? Stay tuned. – Ryan Lavner

That Tiger Woods is at least as good as last year. But I don’t know if he’s any better. Winning this week at Torrey Pines is akin to his victories in 2012 at Bay Hill and Muirfield Village; it doesn’t do much in the way of prophesizing 2013. I hope he’s better than last year. I hope he contends Sunday in the majors. But winning at Torrey Pines for an eighth time doesn’t guarantee certainty. – Mercer Baggs

Bifurcation isn’t the dirty word everyone has been making it out to be for the last decade or so. From PGA Tour commissioner Tim Finchem, who said two sets of rules are possible, to TaylorMade CEO Mark King, who said such a separation is inevitable, the theory of bifurcation gained serious momentum last week. The possibility of a ban on anchoring may not lead to bifurcation, but it certainly led to a long conversation about the possibility. – Rex Hoggard

The biggest key to Tiger Woods’ success this season isn’t something he can work on at the range or the practice green. It’s not a swing tweak or a mechanical flaw or even a physical breakdown. No, his biggest key is how he plays the par-5 holes – and if this week was any indication, he could be on the verge of another big year. From 1996-2009, Tiger was first or second in par-5 birdie percentage each year but '08, when he was fifth. When his ranking in this category slipped, so did his overall results. In 2010, he was 32nd; in 2011, he was 33rd. Last year, he climbed back up to 12th and his game climbed along with it, winning three times. At Torrey Pines, he played the 16 par-5 holes in an astounding 12-under for the week – a number so good that he could have made par on every hole and still won. It’s not exactly something on which he can work, but if Woods continues his domination of the par-5s, expect the success to continue, as well. - Jason Sobel

The way Rory McIlroy ended the 2012 season – with five straight birdies to cap off a victory in Dubai – I was certain he would spend 2013 as an untouchable. He’d won money titles on both sides of the Atlantic. He’d crushed the field at the PGA Championship. He was a young man just beginning to embrace his full potential. An equipment change, a missed cut and Tiger Woods’s four-shot victory at Torrey Pines on Monday has me reassessing things. Rory will find his groove with the new sticks, but how many titles will Tiger have won by then? Will the Rory, who hit 340-yard drives down the middle at Kiawah, return in time to keep Tiger at bay? Will Tiger win his second tournament of his season before Rory gets his first? The '13 season just got a lot more interesting. And the Masters can’t arrive soon enough. - Damon Hack

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Johnson begins Open week as 12/1 betting favorite

By Will GrayJuly 16, 2018, 5:15 pm

Dustin Johnson heads into The Open as the top-ranked player in the world, and he's also an understandable betting favorite as he looks to win a second career major.

Johnson has not played since the U.S. Open, where he led by four shots at the halfway point and eventually finished third. He has three top-10 finishes in nine Open appearances, notably a T-2 finish at Royal St. George's in 2011.

Johnson opened as a 12/1 favorite when the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook first published odds for Carnoustie after the U.S. Open, and he remains at that number with the first round just three days away.

Here's a look at the latest odds on some of the other top contenders, according to the Westgate:

12/1: Dustin Johnson

16/1: Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose

20/1: Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Tommy Fleetwood, Brooks Koepka, Jon Rahm

25/1: Jason Day, Henrik Stenson, Tiger Woods

30/1: Sergio Garcia, Francesco Molinari, Paul Casey, Alex Noren, Patrick Reed

40/1: Hideki Matsuyama, Marc Leishman, Branden Grace, Tyrrell Hatton

50/1: Phil Mickelson, Ian Poulter, Matthew Fitzpatrick

60/1: Russell Knox, Louis Oosthuizen, Matt Kuchar, Bryson DeChambeau, Zach Johnson, Tony Finau, Bubba Watson

80/1: Lee Westwood, Adam Scott, Patrick Cantlay, Rafael Cabrera-Bello, Thomas Pieters, Xander Schauffele

100/1: Shane Lowry, Webb Simpson, Brandt Snedeker, Ryan Fox, Thorbjorn Olesen

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Woods needs top-10 at Open to qualify for WGC

By Will GrayJuly 16, 2018, 4:34 pm

If Tiger Woods is going to qualify for the final WGC-Bridgestone Invitational at Firestone Country Club, he'll need to do something he hasn't done in five years this week at The Open.

Woods has won eight times at Firestone, including his most recent PGA Tour victory in 2013, and has openly stated that he would like to qualify for the no-cut event in Akron before it shifts to Memphis next year. But in order to do so, Woods will need to move into the top 50 in the Official World Golf Ranking after this week's event at Carnoustie.

Woods is currently ranked No. 71 in the world, down two spots from last week, and based on projections it means that he'll need to finish no worse than a tie for eighth to have a chance of cracking the top 50. Woods' last top-10 finish at a major came at the 2013 Open at Muirfield, where he tied for sixth.

Updated Official World Golf Ranking

There are actually two OWGR cutoffs for the Bridgestone, July 23 and July 30. That means that Woods could theoretically still add a start at next week's RBC Canadian Open to chase a spot in the top 50, but he has said on multiple occasions that this week will be his last start of the month. The WGC-Bridgestone Invitational will be played Aug. 2-5.

There wasn't much movement in the world rankings last week, with the top 10 staying the same heading into the season's third major. Dustin Johnson remains world No. 1, followed by Justin Thomas, Justin Rose, Brooks Koepka and Jon Rahm. Defending Open champ Jordan Spieth is ranked sixth, with Rickie Fowler, Rory McIlroy, Jason Day and Tommy Fleetwood rounding out the top 10.

Despite taking the week off, Sweden's Alex Noren moved up three spots from No. 14 to No. 11, passing Patrick Reed, Bubba Watson and Paul Casey.

John Deere Classic champ Michael Kim went from No. 473 to No. 215 in the latest rankings, while South African Brandon Stone jumped from 371st to 110th with his win at the Scottish Open.

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Spieth takes familiar break ahead of Open defense

By Rex HoggardJuly 16, 2018, 3:50 pm

CARNOUSTIE, Scotland – As his title chances seemed to be slipping away during the final round of last year’s Open Championship, Jordan Spieth’s caddie took a moment to remind him who he was.

Following a bogey at No. 13, Michael Greller referenced a recent vacation he’d taken to Mexico where he’d spent time with Michael Phelps and Michael Jordan and why he deserved to be among that group of singular athletes.

Spieth, who won last year’s Open, decided to continue the tradition, spending time in Cabo again before this week’s championship.

Full coverage of the 147th Open Championship

“I kind of went through the same schedule,” Spieth said on Monday at Carnoustie. “It was nice to have a little vacation.”

Spieth hasn’t played since the Travelers Championship; instead he attended the Special Olympics USA Games earlier this month in Seattle with his sister. It was Spieth’s first time back to the Pacific Northwest since he won the 2015 U.S. Open.

“I went out to Chambers Bay with [Greller],” Spieth said. “We kind of walked down the 18th hole. It was cool reliving those memories.”

But most of all Spieth said he needed a break after a particularly tough season.

“I had the itch to get back to it after a couple weeks of not really working,” he said. “It was nice to kind of have that itch to get back.”

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Harrington: Fiery Carnoustie evokes Hoylake in '06

By Ryan LavnerJuly 16, 2018, 3:45 pm

CARNOUSTIE, Scotland – One course came to mind when Padraig Harrington arrived on property and saw a firm, fast and yellow Carnoustie.

Hoylake in 2006.

That's when Tiger Woods avoided every bunker, bludgeoned the links with mid-irons and captured the last of his three Open titles.

So Harrington was asked: Given the similarity in firmness between Carnoustie and Hoylake, can Tiger stir the ghosts this week?

Full coverage of the 147th Open Championship

“I really don’t know,” Harrington said Monday. “He’s good enough to win this championship, no doubt about it. I don’t think he could play golf like the way he did in 2006. Nobody else could have tried to play the golf course the way he did, and nobody else could have played the way he did. I suspect he couldn’t play that way now, either. But I don’t know if that’s the strategy this week, to lay up that far back.”

With three days until the start of this championship, that’s the biggest question mark for Harrington, the 2007 winner here. He doesn’t know what his strategy will be – but his game plan will need to be “fluid.” Do you attack the course with driver and try to fly the fairway bunkers? Or do you attempt to lay back with an iron, even though it’s difficult to control the amount of run-out on the baked-out fairways and bring the bunkers into play?

“The fairways at Hoylake are quite flat, even though they were very fast,” Harrington said. “There’s a lot of undulations in the fairways here, so if you are trying to lay up, you can get hit the back of a slope and kick forward an extra 20 or 30 yards more than you think. So it’s not as easy to eliminate all the risk by laying up.”