YOK: Stenson's chances to win the API

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ORLANDO, Fla. – With the world No. 1 faltering and the world No. 2 absent, Henrik Stenson appears ready to take center stage at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Here’s what You Oughta Know heading into the final round at Bay Hill, where Stenson holds a two-shot lead:

  • Stenson shot a 6-under 66 to overtake Morgan Hoffmann atop the standings. He is in search of his fifth PGA Tour win and first since the 2013 Tour Championship.
  • This is only the second time Stenson has held a 54-hole lead. In the prior instance, he went on to win both the Tour Championship and FedEx Cup at East Lake in 2013.
  • Stenson is clearly comfortable at Bay Hill. He appears in line for his fourth straight top-15 finish, and he is 30 under across his last 10 competitive rounds here.
  • Stenson is looking to break a recent drought for 54-hole leaders. The last player to sleep with at least a share of the lead Saturday night and go on to win was Bill Haas at the Humana Challenge in January.
  • Should Stenson win, he would become the 19th different winner in 19 events this season – the longest such streak on Tour since 1994.
  • With a solo third-place finish or better, Stenson is projected to overtake Bubba Watson at No. 2 in the OWGR. Watson withdrew from this week’s event following the death of a childhood friend.
  • Morgan Hoffmann led after each of the first two rounds, and he now trails by two shots. His best prior finish came at last year’s BMW Championship, where he finished third.
  • Jason Kokrak is tied for third, three shots back after a third-round 65. He finished fourth here a year ago and remains in search of his first win in his 86th career start.
  • Ben Martin is alongside Kokrak at 13 under. He notched his first win earlier this season in Las Vegas, but in 10 starts since the victory he has not recorded another top-10 finish.
  • Defending champ Matt Every is also tied for third, three shots back. He has only one top-10 finish since his victory here last year (T-3, FedEx St. Jude Classic).
  • Sean O’Hair lost in a playoff last week at the Valspar Championship. After three straight rounds in the 60s, he enters the final round at 11 under, alone in seventh place.
  • Rory McIlroy got within one shot of the lead during the third round, but after three straight back-nine bogeys he now sits among a tie for 12th, seven shots behind Stenson.
  • This is the first year that this tournament will award a three-year exemption to the winner. If not otherwise exempt, the champion will have a Tour card through the 2017-18 season.