Skip navigation
Favorites
Sign up to follow your favorites on all your devices.
Sign up

Road to $10 million: Scenarios to win FedEx Cup

Thumbnail

The path to the FedEx Cup title – and the $10 million bonus – is pretty simple for the top-5 players in the points standing. Win and they take home the FedEx Cup. For others, it’s not that simple. Here are the FedEx Cup scenarios for all 30 players at the Tour Championship.

* Position would tie for the FedEx Cup

1. Dustin Johnson

• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the FedEx Cup

• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-5 finish

• Can finish as low as 29th and still have a mathematical chance of winning


2. Patrick Reed

• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the FedEx Cup

• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-3 finish

• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 6th and still have a mathematical chance of winning the cup


3. Adam Scott

• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the FedEx Cup

• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd place finish

• Can finish as low as 4th and still have a mathematical chance of winning the cup


4. Jason Day

• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the FedEx Cup

• Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd place finish

• Can finish as low as 3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the cup


5. Paul Casey

• If he wins the Tour Championship he wins the FedEx Cup

• Can finish as low as a 2-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the cup


6. Rory McIlroy

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes T-2nd or worse

• Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the cup


7. Jordan Spieth

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-2nd or worse


8. Russell Knox

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 3rd* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-2nd* or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes 2nd* or worse


9. Emiliano Grillo

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 3rd or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-2nd* or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 2nd* or worse


10. Jimmy Walker

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 3-way tie for 5th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes in T-2nd* or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes 2nd* or worse


11. Brandt Snedeker (position Jim Furyk was in when won in 2010)

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes T-6th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-4th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse


12. Justin Thomas

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 6th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-4th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse


13. Phil Mickelson

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes T-7th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-4th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse


14. Ryan Moore

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes T-8th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-4th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse


15. Kevin Chappell

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 9th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 2-way tied for 4th* or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes 2nd* or worse


16. Matt Kuchar

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 9th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 4th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


17. Hideki Matsuyama

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 10th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 4th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes T-2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


18. Si Woo Kim

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes T-11th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


19. Kevin Kisner

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes T-12th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


20. Gary Woodland

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 12th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


21. Roberto Castro

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 13th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 5th* or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes 3rd* or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


22. Kevin Na

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes in a 3-way tie for 13th or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


23. William McGirt

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 15th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


24. Bubba Watson

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 17th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes in a 3-way tie for 3rd or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


25. Sean O’Hair (position Bill Haas was in when won in 2011)

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 19th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 5th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes 4th or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


26. Daniel Berger

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 21st* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes 6th* or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes 4th* or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


27. Jason Dufner

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 23rd* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-6th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-4th or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


28. J.B. Holmes

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 25th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes T-6th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-4th or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


29. Jhonattan Vegas

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 27t* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 6th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-4th or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse


30. Charl Schwartzel

• Wins the Tour Championship and ...

• Dustin Johnson (1) finishes 29th* or worse

• Patrick Reed (2) finishes in a 3-way tie for 6th or worse

• Adam Scott (3) finishes T-4th or worse

• Jason Day (4) finishes T-3rd or worse

• Paul Casey (5) finishes in a 3-way tie for 2nd or worse

• Rory McIlroy (6) finishes T-2nd or worse