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Can Nelly Korda win her third-straight major at Hazeltine? Oddsmakers like her chances

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It’s Nelly Korda’s world and we’re all living in it. Or so it has felt in 2026 as the 27-year-old superstar has racked up win after win, second-place finish after second-place finish — to rise from the face of women’s golf to one of the top 100 influential people in sports right now.

Korda’s quest for her third-straight major title commences at Hazeltine National Golf Club this week, where she’s listed as the favorite to win the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship after victories at the Chevron and U.S. Women’s Open.

Minjee Lee walks in as defending champ after winning her third major in front of a home crowd in Texas last year. While Lee is one of the listed favorites, there are a baker’s dozen sitting between her and Korda. Perhaps there’s some value in a repeat ticket? Korda has to be pretty taxed after going from LA to Michigan to the Big Apple, right?

Before handing out picks to win though, let’s take a look at the odds as of Monday, June 22, and see the exact probability bookmakers have listed for Korda’s chance to join Pat Bradley and Inbee Park as players to win three consecutive majors.

2026 KPMG Women’s PGA Championship odds (courtesy of DraftKings)

  • Nelly Korda (+310)
  • Jeeno Thitikul (+1225)
  • Ruoning Yin (+1400)
  • Hannah Green (+1750)
  • Hyo Joo Kim (+1750)
  • Miyu Yamashita (+1850)
  • Hae Ran Ryu (+2050)
  • Lottie Woad (+2050)
  • Charley Hull (+2700)
  • Hye-Jin Choi (+2900)
  • Gaby Lopez (+3100)
  • Sei Young Kim (+3100)
  • Nasa Hataoka (+3200)
  • Lydia Ko (+3600)
  • Minjee Lee (+3900)
Lottie Woad’s par putt lipped out on the 18th green to open the door for a playoff that Miyu Yamashita won on the first hole. Yamashita entered the final round five shots off the lead.

Women’s PGA Championship winner prediction

Seems redundant to ask, “Can Nelly win in Hazeltine?” given the odds so we’ll cut right through the fluff and get to handing out our pick: And it’s not going to be Nelly.

At close to 3-1, there’s just no value here given her recent media commitments and the target she’s carrying on her back week to week.

There was a lot to like about what Gaby Lopez did at Riviera earlier this month finishing T-2 so at +3100 we’ll recommend her as play while noting that Lottie Woad would probably be the third name on this list had it not been for an excruciating short putt that lipped out on the 18th green Sunday at the Meijer LPGA Classic (which she lost in a playoff to Miyu Yamashita). We bring Woad up because at +2050 there might actually be a little value on the 22-year-old phenom, with her five top-10 finishes in 2026 and her LPGA-best 28 sub-par rounds. Therefore, she’s our second pick this week.

KPMG end of Round 1 leader

We’ll go back to the well a bit here and hand out Jennifer Kupcho to lead after 18 holes at the whopping price of +5700. This just feels off after Kupcho’s 5-under 66 on Thursday at Riviera. Granted, these are two different courses but her number is almost five times as high as Korda’s odds (+1225) to be first-round leader in Minnesota. We’re looking for value and this is a number that screams it.

Minjee Lee enters Minnesota as the reigning KPMG Women’s PGA champion but faces the task of stopping world No. 1 Nelly Korda, who has yet to lose a major event this year.

Best bet for KPMG Women’s PGA Championship

We’ll give Hannah Green out three different ways here, all sufficient enough for best bets however you see fit.

First, in the prop market dubbed “Winner Without,” Green is going off at +1475 as the winner without Nelly Korda. We’ll take that in case the oddsmakers are right and we’re set for another Nelly celebration come Sunday.

Our favorite play is Green at 2-1 odds to finish inside the top 10 this week. That’s staggeringly generous given just how good the Aussie has been in 2026. She’s third in the LPGA in strokes gained: total, particularly strong in approach play and putting.

And lastly, because we believe strongly in giving the people what they want: Why not parlay Green and Korda together to T-10? That pays out at +333. Neither of them has to even win! They just go need out there and continue doing what you’ve been doing all year which is absolutely dominate the competition.

Image for KPMG Women's PGA Championship - Early Rd 1
KPMG Women’s PGA Championship - Early Rd 1
The first round of the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship is underway at Hazeltine National Golf Club in Chaska, Minn.