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Open Championship 2026: Top betting storylines, early favorites for Royal Birkdale

Scheffler: Greens in Europe require most adjustments
Scottie Scheffler speaks with Golf Channel's Todd Lewis and says he's in a good spot with his ball striking. Scheffler also discusses the differences in putting greens in the U.S. and the U.K.

Bryson DeChambeau is still looking to make his first cut at a major this season at Royal Birkdale, while Brooks hopes to build off a T-6 finish the last time the Open was held at this historic course.

Despite a cut at Shinnecock last month, Koepka has performed better in majors than his former LIV Golf counterpart (mainly thanks to a T-12 finish at Augusta in April). However, neither of them are exactly “sexy names” to stand in the winner’s circle and hoist the Claret Jug next week.

Of course, counter opinions make the world go around — and that’s precisely why oddsmakers have the jobs they do. So, let’s take a look at the early favorites for the year’s final major where Scottie Scheffler is looking to repeat as champion and see where Bryson and Brooks fall on that list.

2026 Open Championship odds (as of July 8, courtesy of DraftKings)

  • Scottie Scheffler (+500)
  • Rory McIlroy (+750)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1600)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+1600)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
  • Ludvig Åberg (+2500)
  • Cameron Young (+2500)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+2800)
  • Justin Rose (+2800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2800)
  • Viktor Hovland (+3000)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+3000)
  • Robert MacIntyre (+3300)
  • Chris Gotterup (+4000)
  • Wyndham Clark (+4000)
  • Shane Lowry (+4000)
  • Justin Thomas (+4500)
  • Alex Fitzpatrick (+5000)
  • Jordan Spieth (+5000)
  • Joaquin Niemann (+5000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+5000)
  • Patrick Reed (+5000)

3 early British Open betting takeaways

  1. It’s notable that Koepka is tied for the 19th lowest odds with Alex Fitzpatrick, the younger brother of Matt Fitzpatrick who earned his PGA card this year. On one hand, it’s entirely accurate (see: not at all far fetched) that the young Fitzpatrick would be right in line with Koepka. Fitzpatrick has a national advantage playing in his U.K. and has simply been the better golfer so far in 2026. On the other ... Koepka is a five-time major winner with a T-6 finish on this course. How much of a factor is recent form? Only time will tell at Royal Birkdale but we’ll be watching this one closely.
  2. Wyndham Clark opened at +12500 in this market earlier this year and was down to +10000 right around the time he was making his run to capture the U.S. Open last month. He has seen this number plummet even more over the last few weeks, aided further by a T-5 at the Travelers. Clark isn’t the first name we’d recommend here as a winner — not because the value has been absolutely sucked dry; rather, if you look closer at his final round at Shinnecock there are still a lot of scabs that haven’t healed. To think he’d become and back-to-back major winner based on those 18 holes is a bridge too far.
  3. Bryson is considerably less of a worry for oddsmakers than he was heading into Shinnecock, where bookies initially had him listed as the third favorite at +1000 behind Scheffler and McIlroy. Ahead of Royal Birkdale, he’s lined in the market with Justin Rose and Collin Morikawa. Rose has a home-field advantage of sorts but we’re not seeing what exactly has changed in his game since the last major where he went off at +4000. As for Morikawa, the 2026 Pebble Beach winner has played through injury this year which is entirely commendable ... but from a DeChambeau betting perspective, Morikawa was also listed at +4000 ahead of the 2026 U.S. Open.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Stop if you’ve heard it before: Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy enter the week as favorites. But just how large do oddsmakers estimate Scheffler’s edge is on the 2023 Scottish Open winner?