The top 50 players in the FedExCup standings are getting familiar with Bellerive Country Club, site of this week’s BMW Championship.
Scottie Scheffler enters St. Louis as a significant favorite over the field, coming in off a win at the FedEx St. Jude Championship over the weekend and looking to defend his BMW crown from Caves Valley Golf Club last year.
Rory McIlroy didn’t enjoy his time in Memphis as much, posting an 8 over at TPC Southwind to finish 66th in a field that wound up with just 68 players after the withdrawals of Daniel Berger and Robert MacIntyre. Despite that performance, McIlroy has retain his spot behind Scheffler in the list of favorites.
Sam Burns opened as the third listed name but has been usurped by Xander Schauffle. Let’s grab a hold of the live wire that is previewing golf tournament odds and dive in to look at the top favorites for Bellerive before handing out some recommended plays.
2026 BMW Championship favorites (as of August 18, courtesy of DraftKings)
- Scottie Scheffler (+300)
- Rory McIlroy (+1300)
- Xander Schauffele (+1700)
- Ludvig Åberg (+1750)
- Sam Burns (+1800)
- Cameron Young (+1850)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+2350)
- Chris Gotterup (+2400)
- Viktor Hovland +2700
- Si Woo Kim (+2700)
- Hideki Matsuyama (+2700)
- Patrick Cantlay (+2900)
- Wyndham Clark (+3000)
Justin Thomas (+3400)
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BMW Championship winner prediction
Viktor Hovland looked like an inspired pick for about a half-second there last week in Tennessee but fading Scheffler was eventually going to catch up with all of us. Lesson learned .... or has it been.
While the world’s top-ranked player is undeniably the “take your medicine” play, it just wouldn’t be fun to offer up something different than the obvious. And that’s why we’ll roll the dice with Hideki Matsuyama at +27000. He comes in with a T-7 finish or better in his last four tournaments, making the cut at all 21 tournaments and ranking 17th in scrambling — a skill he’ll undeniably need in Bellerive’s large, deep bunkers
Longshot to win at Bellerive
Kristoff Reitan and Gary Woodland are two fun ones, both listed at +8000. Those are to be played with a considerable lighter investment than Matsuyama, to be clear. And that’s because neither Reitan and Woodland are coming into St. Louis anywhere close to the form of the 2021 Masters winner.
Both winners in 2026, Reitan and Woodland haven’t finished T-10