In less than a days time, the fifth signature event of the PGA Tour season tees off at Trump National Doral’s Blue Monster.
Scottie Scheffler returns after a one-week absence, following his playoff loss to Matt Fitzpatrick at the RBC Heritage in Hilton Head.
Will No. 1-ranked Scheffler deliver and win for the first time since the American Express in January?
Before the first grouping tees off at the Cadillac Championship in Miami, let’s take a look at who’s projected to win the event — other than Scheffler — and what other players in the field might offer the best value from an odds perspective.
Cadillac Championship 2026 odds (as of Wednesday morning, courtesy of DraftKings):
- Scottie Scheffler (+315)
- Cameron Young (+1275)
- Collin Morikawa (+2000)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+2400)
- Russell Henley (+2600)
- Si Woo Kim (+2700)
- Chris Gotterup (+2700)
- Jake Knapp (+3000)
- Sam Burns (+3100)
- Maverick McNealy (+3100)
- Hideki Matsuyama (+3100)
- Viktor Hovland (+3200)
- Min Woo Lee (+3400)
- Kurt Kitayama (+4000)
- Nicolai Hojgaard +(4100)
- Justin Rose (+4200)
- Jordan Spieth (+4300)
- Adam Scott (+4300)
Cadillac Championship winner prediction
It’s hard to root against Morikawa at this point but it feels like the value is sucked a bit dry here, and we’ve missed on Knapp and Gotterup recently so strike those three names off.
Scottie is always intriguing. Where’s the fun in that though? All the way down the board, Spieth being listed over names like Bhatia and Bridgeman. That is not worth the bite.
Striking more for the middle a bit, the recommendation is Sam Burns at +3100. Recent form is the leading factor, and it’s not hiding on anyone. He was T-7 at Augusta and followed it up with a respectable T-16 in Hilton Head.
Chris Gotterup odds to win Cadillac Championship
We dismissed Gotterup initially but it’s worth noting that he’s gone from +3500 to +2700 in 48 hours time. There’s been good movement on Cameron Young and Si Woo Kim but nothing compared to Gotterup, a two-time winner this year, as of the updating of this post Wednesday morning.
Sometimes reading the numbers says it all and you don’t need any data dump to sift through to see what’s already there: Gotterup is gaining traction with bettors this week and the books have had to adjust.
One other nugget worth noting is Patrick Cantlay’s withdrawal gave Michael Thorbjornsen a ticket it in, and he’s listed just below Adam Scott at +4400 which makes Thorbornsen relatively viable considering where he was on the outside looking in to start the week.
Best longshot to win at Trump Doral National
Some early season cuts (see: five of them) are giving us a chance to play J.J. Spaun at +5300. The three-time Tour winner should be taken seriously as the “flier” here.
He didn’t make the cut at Augusta but the 2025 U.S. Open winner’s game fits Doral well and he comes in rested off a T-25 at the RBC Heritage.
First-round leader prediction for Cadillac Championship
The aforementioned Jacob Bridgeman offers some value at +3900.
Winning at Riviera has boasted his profile a lot but for this specific market look at where he ranks amongst the Tour’s best in first-round scoring average. He’s fifth! Just barely above Matt Fitzpatrick and Young but still enough to qualify for top five.
If we’re going more conservatively here, we’ll again just mention Scheffler’s name at +1000. In eight events this season, he ranks first in Round 1 scoring.
Cadillac Championship best bets
No reason to stray away from a Tommy Fleetwood top 10 wager now. We’ll gladly gobble up +172 and not complain.
In the T-20 market, the name to start off with is Nicolai Højgaard at +115. The Dane is 13th on Tour on strokes gained: total. Going for his 11th consecutive made cut, Ryo Hisatsune is a name worth playing at +176 to finish in the same prop field.
Drum roll, please ... last but not least, Justin Rose to T-20 is the lock of locks for Cadillac.
The reigning Torrey Pines winner and 2012 Doral champ is priced at +112, which is terrific for the Tour’s top player in greens in regulation percentage (Hisatsune is second, for what it’s worth). It’s far from a sexy play, but sometimes it’s best to ignore glamor.
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